In the second quarter of 2020, the high yield market recouped much of the steep loss it had suffered in the first quarter of the year. The turning point for the market appeared to be the Federal Reserve’s March announcement that it would take aggressive measures to counteract the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic.
The price of gold was pulled by many crosscurrents in the third quarter. The key factors included the advance and retreat of the coronavirus, positive and negative news about progress on a vaccine, the uncertain fiscal outlook, political tensions surrounding the US elections and the changing values of the dollar and the euro.
It would be easy to look at some data from the third quarter and mistake it for a period of blithe recovery. Covid-19 fatalities moderated in the US, while business confidence returned. Longdated inflation expectations approached the Federal Reserve’s benchmark near 2%. The MSCI World Index gained close to 8%, while high yield bond spreads tightened by approximately 100 basis points. Under the surface, however, the situation was more complex.
Though China fell into the first economic contraction in its modern history as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic, it has rebounded markedly and looks poised to be one of the few countries to post G
While many pundits have confidently expounded on industries they think will flourish/suffer under a new Biden or second Trump presidency, we believe the future of economies and investment markets c
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